Monday, May 19, 2008

Democrats and Superdelegates: Media Gets It WRONG

I have tried to educate the media on this, but they are beyond help.  Here is a paragraph from the latest AOL/Associated Press story misrepresenting the situation with Democrat superdelegates (misrepresenting when their vote COUNTS):

"Obama will still be short of the overall number of delegates needed to clinch the nomination, unless he were to suddenly receive an avalanche of endorsements from the party and elected officials known as superdelegates....."

Absolutely, ojectively FALSE--not true.  Yes, you could even call it a lie.   Superdelegattes do not VOTE until the convention.  Before then, all you have is a POLL.  Even if they sign "endoresements" in blood, THEY CAN CHANGE THEIR MINDS.   A few already have. 

It is the same as "likely voters" who respond to a pre-election poll.  They do NOT have to VOTE that way.

In other words, Barack Obama, under the "RULES", absolutely cannot "clinch" the nomination before the convention.  The superdelegates do not have a vote that COUNTS until then.

As to the above, see the entry entitled "Anderson Cooper: Complete and Total Fool" last week in this blog. Anderson Cooper was also co-winner of the dreaded/coveted "Flying, Fickle Finger of Fate" (announced in Saturday's entry) for his conspicious stupidity, exposed by CNN's own EXPERT.  Okay, I am an expert too.  But it is more impressive when CNN's own expert, in effect, labels Anderson Cooper a fool.

Cooper stupidly commented that the Rules committee vote on Michigan and Florida (also ignored by the AP) would be UNNECESSARY if Obama had "gotten" 2025 delegates before the May 31 meeting. CNN's expert had to tell Cooper, on the air, that it does not work that way. Pledged delegates are pledged, but "superdelegates" do not cast a VOTE until the convention. Until then, the expert said (as I told readers of this blog long ago), a "superdelegate" endorsement did NOT represent a confirmed delegate vote that COUNTED. They have the right to change their minds before their official convention vote.

Now was it unfair for me to (correctly) brand Anderson Cooper as a complete and total fool, when EVERYONE at the despicable AP fits that description?  Perhaps.

Now let me be clear.  Once the MEDIA "count" of superdelegates (the poll of how they INTEND to vote), combined with pledged delegates (can't change their minds), shows that Obama has "clinched" the nomination, it is going to be hard for Hillary Clinton.  She will be under enormaous pressue to concede the nomination to Obama.  However, that is PSYCHOLOGY.  Under the RULES, the Democratic nomination cannot be decided berfore the convention.  That is because there are not enough pledged delegates left to be decided for Obama to obtain the number of delegates needed to win the nomination  He MUST have the vote of a fair number of superdelegates, and he cannot get that vote unitl the convention. All he can get before then is a statement of their INTENT, which they can CHANGE.

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