Barack Obama: Victory?

The media story today is all about how Barack Obama is closing in on the nomination, because superdelegates are breaking his way.  As usual, the media stories are objectively FALSE, even if they (and the entire situation) are creating a psychological problem for Hillary Clinton (part of the intent).  The superdelegates do not VOTE until the convention in August, and what they SAY until then DOES NOT COUNT.

Dirty little secret here (that Howard Dean and the media would prefer you not to realize):  "Commitments" of superdelegates are nothing NOW but an OPINION POLL.  You doubt this?  Consider that a few have already SWITCHED from Clinton to Ombam.  There is NOTHING to stop them from switching back (just as voters in opinion polls may not actually VOTE that way). 

In this case, the VOTE is in August.  To win, Hillary Clinton has to have something happen anyway.  If something dramatic happpens, superdelegates can change their minds and vote for her.  That violates no rule.  Superdelegates are not bound by their "commitments" (opinion poll response, evin it it is public).

So why does the media keep indicating that Obama has WON if his delegate count, INCLUDING the OPINION POLL of superdelegates, reaches the "magic number".  Well, the short answer is that they are incompetent and biased.

Now you may think that it will be almost impossible to take the nomination away from Barack Obama once the media, and the Democratic Party, declares him the winnter.  You are probably right in thinking that, but it is true NOW anyway.  Hillary Clinton needs a miracle, and that miracle could happen AFTER Barack Obama is (falsely) declared the "winner", as well as before he is so declared.  Until the convention vote, nothing is official (unless you want to change the "rules"--the same type of "rules" that Howard Dean and the Democratic Party are using to disenfranchise the voters of two whole states:  Michigan and Florida).